Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 8.122422 9.455498 10.890647 12.544923 14.393343 16.389292 18.701550
2025-03-09 6.274079 7.967960 9.914297 12.296861 15.114473 18.319808 22.220203
2025-03-16 4.964169 6.807458 9.048531 11.934370 15.509532 19.749597 25.110949
2025-03-23 4.181405 6.135077 8.629558 11.982254 16.298474 21.592971 28.495062
2025-03-30 3.540225 5.535283 8.200923 11.925562 16.887280 23.155608 31.544767
2025-04-06 3.098043 5.134040 7.968204 12.066833 17.691433 24.978864 34.951055
2025-04-13 2.734111 4.788950 7.761736 12.199503 18.456247 26.748355 38.321189
2025-04-20 2.493040 4.591554 7.734206 12.558680 19.522216 28.932293 42.287412
2025-04-27 2.257876 4.370030 7.641707 12.801401 20.416831 30.897795 46.007020
2025-05-04 1.997531 4.071914 7.399110 12.792184 20.932548 32.341610 49.044179
2025-05-11 1.659678 3.594982 6.826791 12.231123 20.596280 32.559475 50.372715
2025-05-18 1.440384 3.296777 6.510824 12.035160 20.775176 33.493442 52.706822
2025-05-25 1.225724 2.978373 6.132477 11.713051 20.745316 34.126117 54.641318
2025-06-01 1.069870 2.750591 5.886157 11.583115 20.995679 35.165272 57.177264
2025-06-08 0.910842 2.490670 5.554645 11.280493 20.947301 35.743957 59.043612
2025-06-15 0.818588 2.358500 5.443609 11.344306 21.483164 37.212527 62.251609
2025-06-22 0.724323 2.206318 5.278477 11.297535 21.828263 38.390885 65.048130
2025-06-29 0.660269 2.114135 5.220502 11.436021 22.481872 40.060406 68.620066
2025-07-06 0.601769 2.025749 5.160839 11.564476 23.118710 41.716181 72.205089
2025-07-13 0.568186 1.995210 5.216567 11.909300 24.136152 43.998858 76.800808
2025-07-20 0.527774 1.940055 5.214756 12.142235 24.964646 45.997297 80.997033
2025-07-27 0.472401 1.834053 5.092871 12.133499 25.364205 47.309381 84.147650
2025-08-03 0.386941 1.623443 4.716521 11.595706 24.792506 47.013133 84.753832